Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorAbadie, L.M
dc.contributor.authorSmid, M.
dc.date.accessioned2021-01-13T14:25:27Z
dc.date.available2021-01-13T14:25:27Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.identifier.citationEkonomiaz: Revista Vasca De Economía: 97 (1): 165-189 (2020)es_ES
dc.identifier.issn2133865
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10810/49753
dc.description.abstractIn this paper we analyse the probabilistic behaviour of heatwaves (HWs) in the main coastal cities of the Basque Country (Bayonne, Bilbao and Donostia-San Sebastian) in the twentyfirst century. We estimate HW behaviour using data from eight climate circulation models under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5). We model HWs according to three factors: number per annum, duration and intensity, including correlations, and find very different results for each climate model. This highlights the problem of using a single model. Under RCP 8.5, we find an expected mean excess over the 30C temperature threshold of 4.19C for Bayonne, 4.05C for Bilbao and 4.14C for Donostia-San Sebastian in 2100. These expected values are based on incomplete information, so we also calculate several risk measures. © 2020 Servicio Central Publicaciones. Gobierno vasco.es_ES
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research is supported by the Basque Government through the BERC 2018-2021 programme and by the Spanish Ministry of the Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO) through BC3 Mar?a de Maeztu excellence accreditation MDM-2017-0714. Additionally, Luis M. Abadie gratefully acknowledges financial support from The Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (RTI2018-093352-B-I00). Marek Smid acknowledges the H2020 EU project COACCH-grant agreement N. 776479.es_ES
dc.language.isoenges_ES
dc.publisherEkonomiaz: Revista Vasca De Economíaes_ES
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MCIU/RTI2018-093352-B-I00es_ES
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/776479es_ES
dc.relationEUS/BERC/BERC.2018-2021es_ES
dc.relationES/1PE/MDM-2017-0714es_ES
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesses_ES
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/*
dc.subjectClimate changees_ES
dc.subjectHeatwaveses_ES
dc.subjectRepresentative concentration pathwayses_ES
dc.subjectRiskes_ES
dc.subjectStochastic diffusion modellinges_ES
dc.subjectUncertaintyes_ES
dc.titleClimate change and heatwaves in the main coastal cities of the Basque Countryes_ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees_ES
dc.rights.holder© 2020 Servicio Central Publicaciones. Gobierno vasco.es_ES
dc.rights.holderAtribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España*
dc.contributor.funderEuropean Commission
dc.contributor.funderSpanish Ministry of Science and Innovation
dc.contributor.funderBERC
dc.contributor.funderMINECO
dc.contributor.funderSpanish Ministry of the Economy and Competitiveness


Files in this item

Thumbnail
Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record

© 2020 Servicio Central Publicaciones. Gobierno vasco.
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as © 2020 Servicio Central Publicaciones. Gobierno vasco.