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      Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe 

      Ferreira García, María Eva; Martínez, María Isabel; Navarro, Eliseo; Rubio Irigoyen, Gonzalo (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
      This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business ...