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Term Structure and the Estimated Monetary Policy Rule in the Eurozone
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2008)
In this paper we estimate a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure in order to analyze two issues. First, we analyze the effect of introducing an explicit term structure ...
How Does the New Keynesian Monetary Model Fit in the U.S. and the Eurozone? an Indirect Inference Approach
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-05)
This paper estimates a standard version of the New Keynesian monetary (NKM) model under alternative specifications of the monetary policy rule using U.S. and Eurozone data. The estimation procedure implemented is a classical ...
The New Keynesian Monetary Model: Does it Show the Comovement Between Output and Inflation in the U.S.?
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2004)
This paper analyzes the performance of alternative versions of the New Keynesian monetary (NKM) model in order to replicate the comovement observed between output and inflation during the Greenspan era. Following Den Haan ...
Should Fiscal Policy be different in a Non-Competitive Framework?
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper studies if imperfections in the labor market justify a different fiscal policy. We present a dynamic general equilibrium model with a Ramsey planner deciding about public spending, labor taxes and debt. Two ...
Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper analyzes the existence of an inflation tax Laffer curve (ITLC) in the context of two standard optimizing monetary models: a cash-in-advance model and a money in the utility function model. Agents’ preferences ...
The Comovement between Monetary and Fiscal Policy Instruments during the Post-War Period in the U.S.
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2008-04)
This paper empirically studies the dynamic relationship between monetary and fiscal policies by analyzing the comovements between the Fed funds rate and the primary deficit/output ratio. Simple economic thinking establishes ...
Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business ...
Unemployment rates and population changes in Spain
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002)
This paper discusses the long run effect of changes in the age distribution of Spanish population on the unemployment rate, disaggregated by sex and age segments in the light of cointegration theory given the non stationarity ...
Markov Switching Risk Premium and the term structure of interest rates. Empirical evidence from US post-war interest rates
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-04)
This paper considers the basic present value model of interest rates under rational expectations with two additional features. First, following McCallum (1994), the model assumes a policy reaction function where changes ...
The changing behaviour of the term structure of post-war US
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
Using U.S. interest rate data covering the period 1950:1-1992:7, this paper tests the rational expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. We show evidence that the rational expectations model of the term ...