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Now showing items 11-12 of 12
Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business ...
A factor model of seasonality in stock returns
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002)
Most empirical evidence on stock market seasonality is based on the Dummy Variable Approach (DVA). Typically, the DVA leaves too much variability of stock returns unexplained and inference usually leads to weak or null ...