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Fiscal Policy and Economic Stability: Does PIGS stand for Procyclicality In Government Spending?
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-12)
The Financial Crisis has hit particularly hard countries like Ireland or Spain. Procyclical fiscal policy has contributed to a boom-bust cycle that undermined fiscal positions and deepened current account deficits during ...
New Keynesian Model Features that Can Reproduce Lead, Lag and Persistence Patterns
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-04)
This paper uses a new method for describing dynamic comovement and persistence in economic time series which builds on the contemporaneous forecast error method developed in den Haan (2000). This data description method ...
On the Informational Role of Term Structure in the U.S. Monetary Policy Rule
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-01)
This paper uses a structural approach based on the indirect inference principle to estimate a standard version of the new Keynesian monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure using both revised and real-time data. ...
Prices and the Real Exchange Rate in Hong Kong: 1985-2006
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-11)
This paper seeks to quantify to the extent to which price dynamics in Hong Kong are due to the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis. From 1985 to 1998, the CPI in Hong Kong increased spectacularly, yet there was dramatic deflation ...