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Testing the Forecasting Performance of Ibex 35 Option-implied Risk-neutral Densities
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-01)
The main objective of this paper is to test whether the risk-neutral densities (RNDs) implied in the prices of the future options contract on the Spanish IBEX 35 index accurately predict the distribution of future outcomes ...
Option-Implied Preferences Adjustments and Risk-Neutral Density Forecasts
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-06)
The main objective of this paper is to analyse the value of information contained in prices of options on the IBEX 35 index at the Spanish Stock Exchange Market. The forward looking information is extracted using implied ...
Semiparametric estimation in perturbed long memory series
(2005-05)
The estimation of the memory parameter in perturbed long memory series has recently attracted attention motivated especially by the strong persistence of the volatility in many financial and economic time series and the ...
Implementing with veto players: a simple non cooperative game
(2005-06)
The paper adapts a non cooperative game presented by Dagan, Serrano and Volij (1997) for bankruptcy problems to the context of TU veto balanced games. We investigate the relationship between the Nash outcomes of a ...
The Relationship between Risk and Expected Return in Europe
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-01)
We employ MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) to study the risk-expected return trade-off in several European stock indices. Using MIDAS, we report that, in most indices, there is a significant and positive relationship between ...
The role of personal involvement and responsibility in dictatorial allocations: A classroom experiment
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-08)
This paper explores the motivations behind giving. Specifically, it focuses on personal involvement and responsibility to explain why decision makers give positive amounts in dictatorial decisons. The experiment is designed ...
On the strategic equivalence of multiple-choice test scoring rules
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-12)
A disadvantage of multiple-choice tests is that students have incentives to guess. To discourage guessing, it is common to use scoring rules that either penalize wrong answers or reward omissions. These scoring rules are ...
Terrorism and the World Economy
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-10)
It has been argued that terrorism should not have a large effect on economic activity, because terrorist attacks destroy only a small fraction of the stock of capital of a country (see, e.g., Becker and Murphy, 2001). In ...
Going Multinational under Exchange Rate Uncertainty
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
A domestic exporting firm faces exchange rate uncertainty and has the option to install capacity abroad, thus becoming multinational. We analyze when the firm should exercise such an option optimally in the context of a ...
A Supply Function Competition Model for the Spanish Wholesale Electricity Market
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-10)
We model the Spanish wholesale market as a multiplant linear supply function competition model. According to the theory, the larger generators should have supply curves for each plant which are to the left of the supply ...