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Switching Equilibria: The Present Value Model for Stock Prices Revisited
(2002-07)
This paper analyzes the different dynamic features displayed by alternative RE equilibria and how these features change for small perturbations of the dividend process parameters. Using historical US data and structural ...
An empirical comparison of the performance of alternative option pricing models
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002)
This paper presents a comparison of alternative option pricing models based neither on jump-diffusion nor stochastic volatility data generating processes. We assume either a smooth volatility function of some previously ...
Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business ...