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Semiparametric estimation in perturbed long memory series
(2005-05)
The estimation of the memory parameter in perturbed long memory series has recently attracted attention motivated especially by the strong persistence of the volatility in many financial and economic time series and the ...
Bayesian learning in mis-specified models
(2000-02)
A central unanswered question in economic theory is that of price formation in disequilibrium. This paper lays down the methodological groundwork for a model that has been suggested as an answer to this question (Arrow, ...
Gaussian Semiparametric Estimation in Long Memory in Stochastic Volatility and Signal Plus Noise Models
(2002-04)
This paper considers the persistence found in the volatility of many financial time series by means of a local Long Memory in Stochastic Volatility model and analyzes the performance of the Gaussian semiparametric or local ...
Semiparametric inference in correlated long memory signal plus noise models
(2010-04)
This paper proposes an extension of the log periodogram regression in perturbed long memory series that accounts for the added noise, also allowing for correlation between signal and noise, which represents a common situation ...
Doubly fractional models for dynamic heteroskedastic cycles
(2011-02)
Strong persistence is a common phenomenon that has been documented not only in the levels but also in the volatility of many time series. The class of doubly fractional models is extended to include the possibility of long ...
Fractional Integration Analysis and its Implications on Profitability: the Case of the Mackerel Market in the Basque Country
(2010)
This paper analyses weekly prices for mackerel landed by the inshore fleet at the ports of the Basque Country in 1995-2008, using new econometric techniques never before applied to the fishing market. The idea is to learn ...
Consumption-Leisure Trade-offs and Persistency in Business Cycles
(2007)
This paper studies whether nonseparabilities between consumption and leisure may help to explain the observed persistence in GNP growth. We consider an extended version of Lucas' (1988) human capital investment model that ...
Switching Equilibria: The Present Value Model for Stock Prices Revisited
(2002-07)
This paper analyzes the different dynamic features displayed by alternative RE equilibria and how these features change for small perturbations of the dividend process parameters. Using historical US data and structural ...
Economic Growth and Electricity Consumption in 12 European Countries: A Causality Analysis Using Panel Data
(2008)
We apply recent panel methodology to investigate the relationship between electricity consumption and real GDP for a set of 12 European Union countries using annual data for the period 1970-2004. Recently developed tests ...
Electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence from Spain
(2007-01)
The paper investigates both linear and nonlinear causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain for the period 1971-2005. We use the methodology of Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lütkepohl ...