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Guidelines for modeling and reporting health effects of climate change mitigation actions

dc.contributor.authorHess, J. J.
dc.contributor.authorRanadive, N.
dc.contributor.authorBoyer, C.
dc.contributor.authorAleksandrowicz, L.
dc.contributor.authorAnenberg, S. C.
dc.contributor.authorAunan, K.
dc.contributor.authorBelesova, K.
dc.contributor.authorBell, M. L.
dc.contributor.authorBickersteth, S.
dc.contributor.authorBowen, K.
dc.contributor.authorCampbell-Lendrum, D.
dc.contributor.authorBurden, M.
dc.contributor.authorCarlton, E.
dc.contributor.authorCissé, G.
dc.contributor.authorCohen, F.
dc.contributor.authorDai, H.
dc.contributor.authorDangour, A. D.
dc.contributor.authorDasgupta, P.
dc.contributor.authorFrumkin, H.
dc.contributor.authorGong, P.
dc.contributor.authorGould, R. J.
dc.contributor.authorHaines, A.
dc.contributor.authorHales, S.
dc.contributor.authorHamilton, I.
dc.contributor.authorHasegawa, T.
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, M.
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Y.
dc.contributor.authorHorton, D. E.
dc.contributor.authorKarambelas, A.
dc.contributor.authorKim, H.
dc.contributor.authorKim, S. E.
dc.contributor.authorKinney, P. L.
dc.contributor.authorKnowlton, K.
dc.contributor.authorKone, I.
dc.contributor.authorLelieveld, J.
dc.contributor.authorLimaye, V. S.
dc.contributor.authorMadaniyazi, L.
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Q.
dc.contributor.authorMauzerall, D. L.
dc.contributor.authorMartínez, M. E.
dc.contributor.authorMilner, J.
dc.contributor.authorNeville, T.
dc.contributor.authorNieuwenhuijsen, M.
dc.contributor.authorPachauri, S.
dc.contributor.authorPerera, F.
dc.contributor.authorPineo, H.
dc.contributor.authorRemais, J. V.
dc.contributor.authorSaari, R. K.
dc.contributor.authorScheelbeek, P.
dc.contributor.authorSampedro, J.
dc.contributor.authorSchwartz, J.
dc.contributor.authorShindell, D.
dc.contributor.authorShyamsundar, P.
dc.contributor.authorTaylor, T. J.
dc.contributor.authorTonne, C.
dc.contributor.authorVan Vuuren, D.
dc.contributor.authorWang, D.
dc.contributor.authorWatts, N.
dc.contributor.authorWest, J. J.
dc.contributor.authorWilkinson, P.
dc.contributor.authorWoodcock, J
dc.contributor.authorWood, S. A.
dc.contributor.authorWoodward, A.
dc.contributor.authorXie, Y.
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Y.
dc.contributor.authorEbi, K. L.
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-14T14:04:54Z
dc.date.available2023-08-14T14:04:54Z
dc.date.issued2020-11-01
dc.identifier.citationEnvironmental Health Perspectives: 128 (11): 1-10-10 (2020)es_ES
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10810/62198
dc.description.abstractBACKGROUND: Modeling suggests that climate change mitigation actions can have substantial human health benefits that accrue quickly and locally. Documenting the benefits can help drive more ambitious and health-protective climate change mitigation actions; however, documenting the adverse health effects can help to avoid them. Estimating the health effects of mitigation (HEM) actions can help policy makers prioritize investments based not only on mitigation potential but also on expected health benefits. To date, however, the wide range of incompatible approaches taken to developing and reporting HEM estimates has limited their comparability and usefulness to policymakers. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this effort was to generate guidance for modeling studies on scoping, estimating, and reporting population health effects from climate change mitigation actions. METHODS: An expert panel of HEM researchers was recruited to participate in developing guidance for conducting HEM studies. The primary literature and a synthesis of HEM studies were provided to the panel. Panel members then participated in a modified Delphi exercise to identify areas of consensus regarding HEM estimation. Finally, the panel met to review and discuss consensus findings, resolve remaining differences, and generate guidance regarding conducting HEM studies. RESULTS: The panel generated a checklist of recommendations regarding stakeholder engagement: HEM modeling, including model structure, scope and scale, demographics, time horizons, counterfactuals, health response functions, and metrics; parameterization and reporting; approaches to uncertainty and sensitivity analysis; accounting for policy uptake; and discounting. DISCUSSION: This checklist provides guidance for conducting and reporting HEM estimates to make them more comparable and useful for policymakers. Harmonization of HEM estimates has the potential to lead to advances in and improved synthesis of policy-relevant research that can inform evidence-based decision making and practice. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6745. © 2020, Public Health Services, US Dept of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved.es_ES
dc.description.sponsorship1Center for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA 2Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA 3Our Planet, Our Health, Wellcome Trust, London, UK 4Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, District of Columbia, USA 5CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway 6Department of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK 7Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK 8School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA 9Rockefeller Foundation Economic Council on Planetary Health, Oxford, UK 10Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan 11Department of Environment Climate Change and Health, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland 12Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado, USA 13Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland 14University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland 15Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment and Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK 16Laboratory of Energy & Environmental Economics and Policy (LEEEP), College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China 17College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China 18Environmental and Resource Economics Unit, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, India 19Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China 20Center for Climate Change Communication, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA 21Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand 22UCL Energy Institute, University College London, London, UK 23National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan 24Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan 25School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan 26Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan 27Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA 28Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York USA 29Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea 30Center for Climate Change Adaptation, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan 31Department of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, USA 32Centre Suisse de Recherches Scientifiques en Côte d’Ivoire, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire 33Université Félix Houphouet-Boigny, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire 34Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, New York, USA 35Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Dept. of Atmospheric Chemistry, Mainz, Germany 36National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China Address correspondence to Jeremy J. Hess, jjhess@uw.edu and Kristie L. Ebi, krisebi@uw.edu. 4225 Roosevelt Way NE #100, Suite 2330, Box 354695, Seattle, WA, 98105 Supplemental Material is available online (https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6745). †Current address: Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management, Boston, Massachusetts USA ‡Current address: Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, Maryland L.A. is employed by Wellcome Trust, which funded this work. E.C. received grant support provided to the University of Colorado from the U.S. EPA, NIH, and Pantaleon, a major sugar manufacturer in Latin America. A. D. has been awarded competitive research grants from the Wellcome Trust, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and United Kingdom Research and Innovation (UKRI). A.K. is employed at Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management (NESCAUM), 501(c)(3). K.K. and V.L. are part of a team with health cobenefits work supported by the Wellcome Trust (grant No. 216093/Z/ 19/Z). J.V.R. was supported by the National Science Foundation Water, Sustainability, and Climate (grants 1360330 and 1646708), the National Institutes of Health (grants R01-TW010286 and R01-AI125842), and by the University of California Multicampus Research Programs and Initiatives (award MRP-17-446315). J.W. has received funding to develop transport and health models by the European Research Council (ERC) under the Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement No. 817754). This material reflects only the author’s views and the Commission is not liable for any use that may be made of the information contained therein. J.W. also receives funding to develop transport and health models from the UK MRC (METAHIT and JIBE projects) and from the UK DfT (PCT project). The other authors declare they have no actual or potential competing financial interests. This work was funded by the Our Planet, Our Health Program at Wellcome Trust. The authors thank our collaborators at Wellcome Trust and the WHO for their support in convening the workshop that culminated in this manuscript.es_ES
dc.language.isoenges_ES
dc.publisherEnvironmental Health Perspectiveses_ES
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/817754es_ES
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesses_ES
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/*
dc.subjectAir Pollution;es_ES
dc.subjectClimate Change;es_ES
dc.subjectCoronaviruses_ES
dc.subjectCOVID-19es_ES
dc.subjectDisease Outbreakses_ES
dc.subjectEpidemiologic Studieses_ES
dc.subjectHumanses_ES
dc.subjectSARS-CoV-2es_ES
dc.subjectSevere Acute Respiratory Syndromees_ES
dc.titleGuidelines for modeling and reporting health effects of climate change mitigation actionses_ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees_ES
dc.rights.holder© 2020, Public Health Services, US Dept of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved.es_ES
dc.rights.holderAtribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España*
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1289/EHP6745es_ES
dc.identifier.doi10.1289/EHP6745
dc.contributor.funderUniversity of California
dc.contributor.funderUnited Kingdom Research and Innovation
dc.contributor.funderWellcome Trust
dc.contributor.funderNational Institutes of Health
dc.contributor.funderNIH
dc.contributor.funderU.S. EPA
dc.contributor.funderHorizon 2020 research and innovation program
dc.contributor.funderBill and Melinda Gates Foundation
dc.contributor.funderUKRI
dc.contributor.funderEuropean Research Council
dc.contributor.funderERC
dc.contributor.funderMRC
dc.contributor.funderNational Science Foundation Wate
dc.contributor.funderWellcome Trust


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© 2020, Public Health Services, US Dept of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved.
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as © 2020, Public Health Services, US Dept of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved.